Courtney
Ever since reading Alex Count's article, Forging Ties in China: Grameen Foundation's Alex Counts, on ChinaCSR.com last June, I have been wondering what is Grameen's strategy for China.
Last night I got my answer.
Vidar Jorgensen, President of Grameen America and Consultant for Grameen Trust, told me Grameen's plan for China in the next year.
Background
Grameen has been involved in China for the past 14 years, through Grameen Trust - a sister organization that was set up in 1989 to promote Grameen principles of extending microcredit to impoverished individuals without credit. Grameen Trust provides funding and support to a network of MFIs arround the globe.
In China, Grameen Trust has dispersed approxamitely $1.63 million in funding, supporting 17 microfinance institutions. Today, 15 of those organizations are still in existence in various provinces across China including Sichuan, Gansu, Inner Mongolia, Henan, Hebei, Yunan, Shaanxi, and Guizhou. Grameen Partners have dispersed more than $54.3MM to over 60,000 impoverished families. The repayment rate is reported to be 97%. See attachment for more details on Grameen Trust Partners: Download wokai_grameen_trust_china_partners.pdf
Wokai's first two Field Partners, ARDY and CZWSDA, are Grameen Trust Partners. ARDY, established in 1997, is located in Sichuan. It services approxamitley 2,250 clients and hosts a 99% repayment rate. CZWSDA, also established in 1997, is located in Inner Mongolia. It services approxamitely 4,000 clients and hosts a 100% repayment rate.
Future
Grameen Trust has found that past methods of providing technical & monterary asssitance to pre-existing microfinance institutions has proven unsuccessful on the whole. In order to create successful microfinance institutions in the most efficient and rapid way possible, Grameen Trust believes they need to have a hands on approach, using their own microfinance professionals.
With this thought in mind, Grameen Trust developed the Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) strategy. In BOT projects, Grameen Trust provides the managers for local implementation and Grameen Trust directly supervises the operation of the program in its intial growth period. Over time, Grameen Trust managers train local staff and eventually turn over management to them. To date, Grameen Trust has established BOT projects in 8 countries.
In respect to China, Grameen has altered the BOT strategy to become a Build Operate Manage (BOM) strategy. In BOM projects, Grameen involves the use of Grameen Trust's ownership and directional management on a continual basis rather than just for growing start-ups. This strategy will reduce the probelms that occur after Grameen passes management over to local staff. (I suspect this long-term consulting approach will work best for Grameen in China, as the Chinese governments financial and legal restrictions on MFIs are constantly changing.)
Grameen plans to implement 3 BOM projects in China in the next year. These projects will be located in Hainan, Sichuan, and Inner Mongolia. Each project is estimate to impact 8,000 microentrepreneurs and over 40,000 persons (assuming a family of 5 for each microentrepreneur) over 5 years. Grameen will provide $6 million per project which will have a cumulative impact of almost $25 million per project (as repaid funds are immediately aggregated and re-loaned.)
In total, Grameen is committed to impacting over 120,000 lives and providing over $18 million of its own capital, for a cumulative impact of over $75 million dollars.
Currently, Grameen Trust is still in fundraising mode to obtain the initial $18 million. To date, it has raised a over half that amount. Assuming fundraising is completed in the next few months, Grameen hopes to launch BOM proejct implementation within the next year.
Wokai Perspective
Grameen's next step in China is big for two reasons:
1. NGO-sponsored microfinance institutions first got involved in the China microfinance sector in the mid- to late- 1990s. Since that thime, NGOs have contributed over $125 million to the sector. Therefore, Grameens committement of $18 million is sizeable.
2. Grameen has remained on the sideline of China microfinance for sometime now. They have primarily been involved as a consultant providing training, capacity building, technolgy, and aid. In fact, the first microfinance program in China estabished under the guidance of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences professor Du Xiaoshan was based on the Grameen model. Grameen even provided assistance to professor Du Xiaoshan to establish the Funding for the Poor Cooperative (FPC), using that same strategy.
One of the main reasons Grameen has remained on the sideline is because of regulatory restrictions. The Chinese government has been strangeling the microfinance sector with its restrictions on savings deposits and access to capital markets financing. Microfinance institutions, without legal financial institutions status, have neither of the above options for financing and therefore are unable to scale.
But now the environment is changing and Grameen is ready to get its hands dirty. In the new structure, Grameen Trust will apparently have more flexibility and more legal transparency. However, the savings deposit issue - the bread and butter of the success of the Grameen model - has yet to be determined and looks as though it will not be likley.
While I am excited about the prospects for hands-on involvement of Grameen in China, I am skeptical of the outcome. On one hand, I see the history of a very hands-on Chinese government. And my personal experience in the sector tells me that the Chinese government plans for microfinance to become housed in government banks - namely the Rural Credit Cooperatives (RCCs), not in the NGO sector. On the other hand, Vidar at Grameen tells me that Muhammad Yunus has had some real breakthrough discussions with Madame Wu Yi of the CCP - who was responsible for overseeing China's economy. Yunus told her that the government RCCs are essentially a waste of time and that successful microfinance programs could never be established in them. At first she pushed back, but by the end of their conversation, she saw his point of view and ultimately agreed.
So, once again, we have to chalk the outcome up to "time will tell." Either way, its exciting to think of the possibilities!